IPL Auction 2025

Some potential player trends

Based on the current data from my ‘wisdom of the crowd’ model, here are some trends which I anticipate for this weekend’s IPL Auction.

Sets 1 & 2 expected to have the most spending

This probably isn’t news to most people - especially as they are both marquee sets this year. However, any over-the-top spending could be reckless given the constraints that it will pose later in the auction, when good players who will only require a few bids are likely to exist. Sets 43 and 44 towards the end of the auction in the accelerated phase could also see some last-minute spending.

Which high-profile players are expected to have big deviation in potential pricing?

The wisdom of the crowd model gives great insight into consensus opinion. For example, Jos Buttler at the bottom of this chart has very strong consensus about his final sale price with very little deviation among public expectation.

On the flip side, the likes of Mukesh Kumar and Will Jacks at the top of this chart have very high expected price deviation - essentially, there was very little agreement from the crowd about their final sale price. Opinion was split as to whether their price would be cheap or expensive.

Which IPL rookie is expected to get the highest price?

These eight players above have never played a match in the IPL but are expected to generate interest from franchises. Young Afghan spinner Allah Ghazanfar is one to watch in the auction.

Which players are likely to attract bidding wars?

This final chart looks at expected price as a multiple of a player’s reserve price. So, players with a low reserve such as Nehul Wadhera and Ashutosh Sharma will likely sell for many multiples of their reserve, while at the top of the auction list, so will Rishabh Pant and Arshdeep Singh, albeit with a much higher reserve price.

Keep an eye out for the bidding wars on these players on Sunday and Monday…

Any organisation who would like to discuss usage of these valuations should get in touch via email at sportsanalyticsadvantage@gmail.com.