IPL 2025 Auction - Final Player Values
Further analysis of player pricing & chances of being sold
As mentioned in my previous post earlier in the week, I have now updated my ‘wisdom of the crowd’ pricing model for the upcoming IPL Auction (starts tomorrow).
If you are interested, you can read about how I created these values and a little more about the model and what it is trying to achieve here.
A reminder - these player valuations have absolutely nothing to do with how good or bad I think a player is, or what I think a player will or won’t sell for, or what I think their fair market value is. It is simply ‘wisdom of the crowd’.
These valuations should provide a pretty useful sanity check in terms of understanding how much a player is worth, and whether a team is overpaying or underpaying independently sourced market prices.
Each player has a predicted low price (worst case scenario price for them, which can include being unsold) and a predicted high price - the best case scenario price for them. Also included is the modelled current expected sale price for each player, the likely volatility of each player’s price and the percentage chance that a player will be sold. You will also be able to compare Tuesday’s price to today’s price, and see market sentiment over the last few days.
You can download the final version of player pricing here:
Finally, you can see the data for the first two marquee player sets via this image below:
Any organisation who would like to discuss usage of these valuations should get in touch via email at sportsanalyticsadvantage@gmail.com.