I have a view on this, but would be interested in others opinions on this hypothetical player who is just before peak age, not a huge sample of data but not insignificant either.
If it was an IPL auction, considering 120 cr, I would consider to invest at base price to 2-3x of base.
It will be determined on the bowlers he has scored against [using the football game equivalent of multiplying the ranking of the bowling attack from 0 to 1], the nature of the pitch he finished on, role a team is targeting.
Many teams do this mistake, like picking BBL finishers, who bat on flattish surfaces and big boundaries and are aided with the Power Surge. They pay top dollar to them to play on surfaces completely alien to them and they struggle.
I would always lean against paying premium prices for a player who hasn’t yet proven themselves at the top level. Defer to coaches for these types of “high ceiling” players with low sample sizes.
If it was an IPL auction, considering 120 cr, I would consider to invest at base price to 2-3x of base.
It will be determined on the bowlers he has scored against [using the football game equivalent of multiplying the ranking of the bowling attack from 0 to 1], the nature of the pitch he finished on, role a team is targeting.
Many teams do this mistake, like picking BBL finishers, who bat on flattish surfaces and big boundaries and are aided with the Power Surge. They pay top dollar to them to play on surfaces completely alien to them and they struggle.
Can the leagues be weighed by average bowling attack or batting of the league to be able to compare/predict output across leagues
I would always lean against paying premium prices for a player who hasn’t yet proven themselves at the top level. Defer to coaches for these types of “high ceiling” players with low sample sizes.